Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.050298 0.058762 0.068191 0.079469 0.092594 0.107386 0.125326
2025-10-05 0.037701 0.048895 0.062690 0.080931 0.104419 0.133654 0.172832
2025-10-12 0.030006 0.042162 0.058346 0.081454 0.113601 0.156760 0.219172
2025-10-19 0.024808 0.037235 0.054867 0.081679 0.121423 0.178196 0.265571
2025-10-26 0.021332 0.033895 0.052727 0.082965 0.130305 0.201637 0.317462
2025-11-02 0.018961 0.031698 0.051748 0.085539 0.141079 0.228828 0.378260
2025-11-09 0.016005 0.028035 0.047839 0.082732 0.142697 0.241636 0.417622
2025-11-16 0.014073 0.025734 0.045744 0.082473 0.148235 0.261162 0.470236
2025-11-23 0.012391 0.023591 0.043569 0.081671 0.152560 0.278915 0.521768
2025-11-30 0.011316 0.022376 0.042831 0.083273 0.161268 0.305227 0.591772
2025-12-07 0.010081 0.020667 0.040936 0.082405 0.165165 0.323079 0.648047
2025-12-14 0.008867 0.018818 0.038512 0.080149 0.166007 0.335116 0.694373
2025-12-21 0.007757 0.017041 0.036035 0.077523 0.165913 0.345602 0.739628
2025-12-28 0.007211 0.016375 0.035728 0.079352 0.175250 0.376206 0.830466
2026-01-04 0.006617 0.015518 0.034903 0.079946 0.182008 0.402244 0.914925
2026-01-11 0.006064 0.014671 0.033979 0.080183 0.187981 0.427269 1.000305
2026-01-18 0.005647 0.014077 0.033539 0.081448 0.196418 0.458667 1.104048
2026-01-25 0.005354 0.013738 0.033637 0.083976 0.208102 0.498761 1.233088
2026-02-01 0.004765 0.012584 0.031655 0.081221 0.206766 0.508469 1.290737
2026-02-08 0.004385 0.011904 0.030734 0.080966 0.211532 0.533229 1.388435
2026-02-15 0.004016 0.011200 0.029662 0.080179 0.214840 0.554798 1.480825
2026-02-22 0.003797 0.010871 0.029504 0.081752 0.224454 0.593251 1.621646
2026-03-01 0.003488 0.010246 0.028490 0.080900 0.227516 0.615280 1.721844